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Wednesday, 15 July 2020
Amazon spent 6 years and tens of millions of dollars making a huge new game that flopped
Did you know that Amazon, the biggest company in the world, launched a big-budget video game recently?
The game is called "Crucible," and you're forgiven if this is the first you're hearing about it. Despite being free-to-play and available on the world's largest gaming platform, Steam, "Crucible" has already come and gone from the top 100 charts.
Crazier still: Amazon outright pulled the game from digital stores in late June. "Starting tomorrow, 'Crucible' is moving to closed beta," a note posted to the game's developer blog on June 30 said.
So, how did "Crucible," a free-to-play multiplayer game, go from a promising new game to being pulled from storefronts in just a few weeks? Here's what we know:
When "Crucible" launched on May 20, it arrived with very little fanfare.
It's important to understand the type of game that "Crucible" is: a team-based online multiplayer shooter, more akin to "Overwatch" than to "Fortnite." But its gameplay takes more inspiration from the world of MOBAs - "League of Legends" and "DOTA 2," for instance - than competitive shooters.
Also of note: It's a free-to-play game with a PC focus, which puts it in direct competition with games like "Valorant" from Riot Games. Amazon's goal for "Crucible" was to attract tens of millions of players and, with any luck, have it become a major esport game.
The contrast between how "Crucible" launched and how "Valorant" launched is illustrative of why the former failed while the latter is succeeding.
When "Valorant" launched this year, it was available in a closed beta that you could only get access to by watching Twitch streamers play the game live. Through a "drop" system tied to Twitch accounts, viewers would gain free access to the beta. This way, new "Valorant" players already had some idea of how to play the game because they'd watched someone play it live.
In the weeks leading up to and following the launch of "Crucible" in late May, Amazon didn't utilize its own streaming service - Amazon owns Twitch - to promote the game. There were no major streamers playing the game and hyping it up, no trailers for the game running as ads, and no "drop" system to gain early access. Similarly on YouTube, where gaming dominates attention, ads for "Crucible" were nowhere to be seen.
With little advertising, and little to no buzz from press, very few people ever played "Crucible."
As of May 21, the day after it launched, "Crucible" had around 25,000 concurrent players at peak. By May 22, it had already disappeared from Steam's top 100 - a list of most-played games on Steam that bottoms out around 5,000 concurrent players.
Which is to say: Two days after launch, fewer than 5,000 people were playing "Crucible" at any given time.
By comparison, the most-played game on Steam averages around 1 million concurrent players - a spot usually occupied by "Counter-Strike: Global Offensive" (a free-to-play shooter), "PlayerUnknown's Battlegrounds" (a huge battle royale game), and "DOTA 2" (another free-to-play game).
These numbers would be bad for a premium game - a game that people had to pay for upfront - but they're especially bad for a free-to-play multiplayer game, where the business model is based on bringing in huge numbers of players.
The logic for free-to-play games is you bring in a ton of players and then either sell ads that appear in-game based on those huge user numbers or sell in-game cosmetic items that players can purchase.
"Fortnite" is a great example of this: The game costs nothing to play, and has tens of millions of players. If just 1% of players buy in-game items, "Fortnite" maker Epic Games profits handsomely. Analysts estimate "Fortnite" made $1.8 billion (R30 billion) in 2019.
Simply put: If no one's playing your game, there's no one to buy those virtual items - a major issue when your business model is predicated on a huge user base.
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In the weeks following launch, player numbers continued to drop. By mid-June, the game averaged in the low hundreds of players at any given time.
The poor launch of "Crucible" led to a gradual decline in players until, just a few weeks after launch, no more than a few hundred players were online at any given moment.
Beyond being a business problem, the low player numbers made it hard for the few people still playing to find other players. This issue was compounded by the game itself: "Crucible" initially launched with three separate game modes, which split up its player base from the jump.
Amazon cut two of those modes soon after launch in an attempt to corral existing players, but it was already too late.
Source: Business Insider
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